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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after beating Roy Nelson, but at age 38 his abilities are unlikely to be improving. Mitrione gets the superior technique, power and durability standing that ought to see him using a sensible benefit. Kharitonov will be looking to acquire down the fight but it’s going to be hard given Mitrione’s exceptional athleticism. Anticipate a tentative beginning from both guys before Mitrione starts accumulating strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming into this fight after a significant injury layoff. Actually he’s had only one success because Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks over his state the struggle appears to be lined overly wide. Ngannou clearly has huge stopping power and will be very dangerous on the feet . If Cain has lost a step or comes in looking slow he’s in trouble. Historically his style attracts a lot of pressure to opponents but he is open to taking shots himself, particularly when gassed. Both guys have avenues to victory here, Ngannou can keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will want to avert the early storm and seem to wear the larger man out with takedowns and cage pressure. We like the underdog in what seems to be a 50/50 fight going in. However, the winner of the struggle is likely to seem dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all-time low after his latest KO but his conduct towards the top was remarkable. In this matchup he will function as superior technical fighter with the duration and speed benefit. Felder has a tendency to mimic his competitor but he will have to turn this one into a brawl to find victory. It’s possible he connects with a kill shot, but the rest of the avenues to victory have been in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to use his very best weapons but Vick has revealed he can stick to a gameplan and keep it at range. We like the lineup on Vick to cruise to victory with a clinical choice.
Bet = Vick at 1.91 (-110) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 2.73 Units.
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